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“There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics” Mark Twain http://www.mycanadagoosejacket.org said. He may have been overly optimistic. Statistics help when gauging relative risk. For example, you’re almost 7 times more likely to drown in a bathtub than be struck by lightning.

canadian goose jacket NOAA statistics since 1986 show you’re almost twice canada goose black friday sale as likely buy canada goose jacket to die from complications of extreme heat than tornadoes in the USA. lives as hurricanes. canadian goose jacket

Tornadoes, hurricanes and blizzards get the air time, the local and national media attention, but flooding and extreme heat takes more lives across America. Vaguely interesting; hopefully the subject of inspired small talk at your next book club.

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buy canada goose jacket Keep a heavy jacket handy. A few more chilly relapses are all but inevitable. buy canada goose jacket

Another Tornado Record’s In Sight as Thunderstorms Boom. The most active tornado season in 5 6 years? Probably. in January was more typical of April, Marsh said. A confirmed tornado touched down in central Massachusetts in February, a first, while there was still snow on the ground. The peak uk canada goose outlet of tornado season varies across the country. Activity is concentrated in the Southeast early in the year, drifting into the Great Plains’ “Tornado Alley” in May and June before heading into the Northeast by early summer. has more tornadoes Canada Goose Online than any other country, according to a report by Lloyd’s of London. The nation averages about 1,200 tornadoes a year, with the storms killing as many canada goose coats on sale as 60 people and injuring 1,500, Lloyd’s said. Still, the trend isn’t consistent from what uk canada goose some models predicted would result from global warming, the study found.”

canada goose coats 3 Storm Chasers Die in Texas Car Crash. ABC News has the details of this tragic story. canada goose coats

6 Life Threatening Tornado Myths Debunked. Experts warn that an overpass is not a safe shelter if a tornado is approaching. “Winds will actually funnel under the bridge and accelerate, which can cause the car to be pulled out,” Warren said. Debris is another concern as the tornado can slam cars and other objects underneath bridges. If you happen to be caught on the highway and cannot get out of the path of a tornado, Warren said, seeking shelter in a ditch or remaining in your car is safer than being under an overpass.”

buy canada goose jacket cheap Maps Impersonating Spring. ECMWF guidance shows 50s into next week; even 60s the weekend after next as a flow from the Gulf of Mexico strengthens. It looks too cool, dry and stable for any significant severe storm outbreaks into the middle of next week. MSP numbers: WeatherBell. buy canada goose jacket cheap

canada goose deals No Rest For the Weather Weary. The same storm that spawned tornadoes and Canada Goose online baseball size hail across Texas and Oklahoma Tuesday will spread a pinwheel of rain across the Upper Midwest and Ohio Valley, eventually pushing heavy wet snow into much of New England by Friday and Saturday. Meanwhile the rains just don’t want to quit for the Pacific Northwest with more snow for the intermountain west in the coming days. canada goose deals

A Bad Meteorological April Fool’s Day Joke? We’ll see how this unfolds, but buy canada goose jacket cheap models bring a (very) plowable snowfall across canada goose store central Michigan into upstate New York and much of interior New England. cheap canada goose uk A foot from Albany to Worcester? We’ll see, but travel north and west of New York City and Boston may be extremely tricky Friday night into Saturday. 12 KM NAM guidance above.

Mid April: Mild and Thundery Central USA? 500 mb winds may cut off roughly 2 weeks out, if the GFS verifies, meaning a sloppy, potentially thundery weather holding pattern for the Plains and Midwest with mild sunshine for much off the eastern USA and drying for California. More rain for the Pacific Northwest? Good grief.

canada goose store Forecasts For This Past Winter Were Mostly Awful. Blame the Fickle Pacific Ocean. We were supposed to slide into a La Nina cooling phase, but in recent months the pattern has resembled a severe El Nino pattern with wave after wave of Pacific moisture slamming the west coast. Here’s an excerpt of an explainer from Jason Samenow at Capital Weather Gang: “Predicting the weather for winter many weeksbefore itbegins is hard. If any season proved there is a long ways to go in perfecting such long term outlooks, this winter was it. I am not aware of any outlet in the government, media or private sector which nailed the 2016 17 winter outlook. In fact, some forecasts predicted the opposite of what happened. The National Weather Service and The Weather Company probably had the best outlooks of those I reviewed although they were far from perfect. Across all of the various outlooks, the forecast errors were linked to a Pacific Ocean that did not behave as expected. Storms traveling across it were supposed to mostly pass to California’s north. Instead, time and time again theyhit the Golden State head on, unloading historic amounts of rain and snow, while flooding much of the rest of the nation with abnormally warm air.” canada goose store

canada goose clearance sale Photo credit: “Chairlift buried in snow, Feb. So Far This Year. It’s going to be an extra long severe and tornado season, at the rate we’re going. These strong storms are tracking farther north than usual for this time of year, resulting in much warmer than normal temperatures being pulled northward into the Midwest. So the storm track has been more typical of April or May, even in the middle of winter. As a result, severe weather amounts have been more typical of April or May.” canada goose clearance sale

Canada Goose Outlet Leigh Orf Creates Super Storms From the Comfort of His Desk. Supercomputer simulations of super cell thunderstorms, the rotating monsters that often go on to spin up tornadoes, is improving rapidly as speeds increase and costs Canada Goose Outlet continue to come down. Before the tornado canada goose clearance sale forms, there are a whole bunch of mini tornadoes. They’re not actually called tornadoes, they’re called mesocyclones. They’re little spinning whorls of air that are maybe 100 yards in diameter. The second thing we’ve noticed, we gave a name: we call it a streamwise vorticity current. One of the things my simulation is suggesting is that the tornado is made up of air from that cold pool. But there’s a certain feature we’ve identified that’s sort of hard to explain in words it’s a helically flowing horizontal thing of air, that kind of goes up and becomes tilted into the supercell.” Canada Goose Outlet

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Canada Goose online WMO “Retires” Two Hurricane Names. Here’s an excerpt from a NOAA press release: “You’ve heard the last of Matthew and Otto at least as Atlantic storm names. These two storms ravaged the Caribbean so much last year their names have been retired by the World Meteorological Organization’s Region IV Hurricane Committee, of which NOAA’s National Hurricane Center is a member. Matthew and Otto are the 81st and 82nd names to be removed from the Atlantic list. Storm names are retired if they were so deadly or destructive that the future use of the name would be insensitive. Matthew became a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Canada Goose sale scale on the night of Sept. Canada Goose online

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“Jet Stream” on the Sun May Help to Provide Better Solar Flare Forecasts. Here’s an excerpt of a fascinating story at Cosmos: “Scientists studying 360 degree images of the sun have discovered that deep in its atmosphere, its magnetic field makes looping meanders intriguingly analogous to the earth’s jet stream. Technically known as Rossby waves, these meanders were traced by observing their effect on coronal brightpoints small bright features that dot the sun. Their movements can be used to track motions deeper in the solar atmosphere. They are not particularly fast, especially when measured against the huge scale of the sun itself. “We get speeds of three metres per second,” says Scott Canada Goose Coats On Sale McIntosh, a solar physicist from the National Centre for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, USA. “Slow, but measurable.”

More Than Any Other Industry, Science Makes America Great. I couldn’t agree more. economy, launched the world’smost advanced military force, and saved millions of lives. canada goose uk shop In case you need it, here’s a refresher onthe greatest hits:Benjamin Franklin deepened our understanding of electricity; Thomas Jefferson’s weapons technologyhelped us win the Revolutionary War; then there was Eli Whitney’s cotton gin; Robert cheap Canada Goose Fulton’s steamboat;Thomas Edison’slight bulb, phonograph, and literally a thousand other patents; theWright Brothers’airplane;Henry Ford’s Model T;and for better or worse the massive team of scientists on the Manhattan Project team, responsible for theatom bomb and nuclear energy. Oh, yeah, and we landed on the moon. Skip ahead to the internet, which was developed largely by American scientists and engineers in collaboration with the Department of Defense.”

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